Joinville vs Metropolitano: prediction and stats
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Joinville the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Metropolitano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Joinville wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Joinville vs Metropolitano?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Joinville (1,565) and Metropolitano (1,564).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Joinville vs Metropolitano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Joinville
4-2-3-1- 7Iago Dias
- 10Gabriel Terra
- 8Para
- 9Keké
- 5Yalle
- 11João Victor
- 6Natanael
- 2Toty
- 3Vitao
- 4Gutieri
- 1Thiago
Metropolitano
4-3-3- DDaniel Bahia
- CC. Ebere
- GGabriel Lima
- GGustavo França
- JJardel Anderson Monteiro Viana
- TThiago de Lima
- CCarlos Augusto Pereira de Morais
- LLázio Nunes Vieira
- RRamon
- BBrendo
- MMártin Becker
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Metropolitano have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santa Catarina(away) | 3-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barra(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nação(away) | 4-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hercílio Luz(home) | 1-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Blumenau(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Santa Catarina(home) | 3-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Barra(away) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Figueirense(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Blumenau(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 2-5 | Copa Santa Catarina |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Joinville win, 0 draws, 0 Metropolitano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | Metropolitano 0-1 Joinville | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Metropolitano vs Joinville on Mar 13, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metropolitano score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Metropolitano | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Joinville vs Metropolitano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Joinville vs Metropolitano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Joinville the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Metropolitano.
- Where and when is Joinville vs Metropolitano played?
- Joinville vs Metropolitano is played on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Joinville, in the Copa Santa Catarina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.