Bnei Yehuda vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bnei Yehuda vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Bnei Yehuda starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bnei Yehuda have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 3-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bnei Yehuda win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-2 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Bnei Yehuda 1-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 7, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-0 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Bnei Yehuda 0-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda on Mar 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Bnei Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bnei Yehuda sit 1st in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bnei Yehuda vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
- Where and when is Bnei Yehuda vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
- Bnei Yehuda vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.