Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam SC: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam SC?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Kiryat Yam SC (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kiryat Yam SC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kiryat Yam SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2025 | Kiryat Yam SC 4-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-2 Kiryat Yam SC | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-2 Kiryat Yam SC | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Kiryat Yam SC 0-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Kiryat Yam SC vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Feb 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kiryat Yam SC score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kiryat Yam SC | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Kiryat Yam SC sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kiryat Yam SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam SC?
- The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam SC played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam SC is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel AcrevsMaccabi Herzliya
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel AfulavsBnei Yehuda
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsIroni Modi'in
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsAshdod
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsKafr Qasim