Bocholt vs Racing Mechelen: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Axor Arena, Bocholt
The Footlab model makes Racing Mechelen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Bocholt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bocholt vs Racing Mechelen?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Bocholt (1,717) and Racing Mechelen (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bocholt have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Racing Mechelen have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berg en Dal(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Racing Mechelen(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Rotselaar(home) | 2-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hades(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sint-Truiden II(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bocholt win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Racing Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Racing Mechelen 1-0 Bocholt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Bocholt 1-0 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Bocholt 1-2 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Racing Mechelen 2-2 Bocholt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Racing Mechelen 3-0 Bocholt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Bocholt 1-1 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Racing Mechelen vs Bocholt on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bocholt score 1.4 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bocholt | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Racing Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bocholt sit 13th in Second Amateur Division - VFV B (31 points from 30 matches) and Racing Mechelen sit 6th (46 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Racing Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 47 | 45 | 46 |
| 13 | Bocholt | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 50 | 59 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bocholt vs Racing Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Mechelen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Bocholt.
- Where and when is Bocholt vs Racing Mechelen played?
- Bocholt vs Racing Mechelen is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Axor Arena, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.