Boden vs Lucksta: prediction and stats
Division 2 - NorrlandNorrland - Promotion RoundKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bodens Energi Arena, Boden
The Footlab AI model makes Boden the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Lucksta. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boden vs Lucksta?
On Elo ratings, Boden has 1,498 points and Lucksta 1,413.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boden vs Lucksta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boden
Not enough data to predict the Boden lineup.
Lucksta
Not enough data to predict the Lucksta lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boden have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lucksta have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Täfteå(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gottne(away) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 26, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Skellefteå(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 16, 2026 | IFK Luleå(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Skellefteå(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 3, 2026 | IFK Östersund(home) | 2-5 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Täfteå(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 19, 2026 | IFK Luleå(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kubikenborg(away) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Boden wins, 1 draw, 2 Lucksta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lucksta 3-0 Boden | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Lucksta 1-3 Boden | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Boden 1-2 Lucksta | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Boden 3-1 Lucksta | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Lucksta 2-2 Boden | Division 2 - Norrland |
How many goals should we expect?
Boden score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lucksta score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lucksta | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boden sit 4th in Division 2 - Norrland (17 points from 12 matches) and Lucksta sit 3rd (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 18 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
A question about Boden vs Lucksta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boden vs Lucksta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boden the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Lucksta.
- Where and when is Boden vs Lucksta played?
- Boden vs Lucksta is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bodens Energi Arena, in the Division 2 - Norrland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.