Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?
Bodo/Glimt starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (2,277 vs 2,052).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bodo/Glimt win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 NEC Nijmegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bodo/Glimt score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 9 |
Who is out?
11 reported absence(s) for this match.
- A. MikkelsenBodo/GlimtOut(Groin Injury)
- H. EvjenBodo/GlimtOut(Knee Injury)
- I. SjongBodo/GlimtOut(Injury)
- J. GundersenBodo/GlimtDoubtful(Injury)
- O. Didrik BlombergBodo/GlimtDoubtful(Injury)
- A. KaplanNEC NijmegenOut(Knee Injury)
- Deveron FonvilleNEC NijmegenDoubtful(Injury)
- Koki OgawaNEC NijmegenOut(Head Injury)
- P. SandlerNEC NijmegenOut(Injury)
- P. SchuursNEC NijmegenOut(Knee Injury)
- S. OuaissaNEC NijmegenOut(Muscle Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen is played on August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Aspmyra Stadion, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.