Boiro vs Celtiga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Barraña, Boiro
The Footlab model makes Boiro the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boiro vs Celtiga?
Boiro starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boiro have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Celtiga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Somozas(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 6-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Noia(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Noia(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Boiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Celtiga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Boiro 1-1 Celtiga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Celtiga 0-3 Boiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Boiro score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celtiga score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boiro | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Celtiga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boiro sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and Celtiga sit 13th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45 | 29 | 51 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 48 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boiro vs Celtiga?
- The Footlab model makes Boiro the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Boiro vs Celtiga played?
- Boiro vs Celtiga is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Barraña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.