Boiro vs Celtiga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Barraña, Boiro
The Footlab AI model makes Boiro the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boiro vs Celtiga?
Boiro starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,683).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boiro vs Celtiga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boiro
Not enough data to predict the Boiro lineup.
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boiro have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Celtiga have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Silva(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Boiro wins, 1 draw, 0 Celtiga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celtiga 0-2 Boiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Boiro 1-1 Celtiga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Celtiga 0-3 Boiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Boiro score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Celtiga score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boiro | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Celtiga | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boiro sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Celtiga sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boiro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Boiro vs Celtiga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boiro vs Celtiga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boiro the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Boiro vs Celtiga played?
- Boiro vs Celtiga is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Barraña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.