Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Arteixo the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Estradense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Arteixo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,697 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Estradense (1,778) and Atlético Arteixo (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Atlético Arteixo
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Arteixo lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Arteixo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Portonovo SD(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Barco(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arenteiro(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Somozas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estradense win, 3 draws, 2 Atlético Arteixo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo 1-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo 2-2 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Estradense 0-1 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Estradense 2-2 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Estradense 2-1 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Arteixo vs Estradense on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Arteixo score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlético Arteixo | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (15 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Arteixo sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atlético Arteixo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Estradense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Arteixo the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Estradense.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo played?
- Estradense vs Atlético Arteixo is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.