Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Espiñedo, O Carballiño
The Footlab AI model makes Arenteiro the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Portonovo SD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arenteiro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Arenteiro (1,734) and Portonovo SD (1,758).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arenteiro
4-3-3- 7David Ferreiro
- 11J. Cuéllar
- 9Nacho Ramón
- 21Álex López
- 10Chuca
- 6B. Val
- 5Gorka Pérez
- 4E. Falcon
- 15D. Moreno
- 16Daniel Lasure
- 1Álvaro Abajas
Portonovo SD
Not enough data to predict the Portonovo SD lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenteiro have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Portonovo SD have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antela(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portonovo SD(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Silva(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Arenteiro wins, 0 draws, 1 Portonovo SD win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portonovo SD 2-1 Arenteiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenteiro score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portonovo SD score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenteiro | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Portonovo SD | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenteiro sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (3 points from 5 matches) and Portonovo SD sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Portonovo SD | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arenteiro the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Portonovo SD.
- Where and when is Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD played?
- Arenteiro vs Portonovo SD is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Espiñedo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.