Where and when is Boise vs NY Cosmos played?

Boise vs NY Cosmos is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Boise vs NY Cosmos: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)

Boise

NY Cosmos

The Footlab model makes Boise the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for NY Cosmos. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Boise vs NY Cosmos?

Boise starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,719 vs 1,593).

Boise win71 %

Draw17 %

NY Cosmos win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boise have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; NY Cosmos have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Boise
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Sporting San Jose(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Forward Madison(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	0-0	USL League One
Jul 29, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	2-3	USL League One

NY Cosmos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-3	USL League One
Aug 20, 2026	Corpus Christi(away)	2-0	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Alta(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Boise(home)	1-2	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Boise win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 NY Cosmos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	NY Cosmos 1-2 Boise	USL League One

Last archived meeting: NY Cosmos vs Boise on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Boise score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; NY Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Boise	1.5	1.3	5	10/15	10/15
NY Cosmos	0.9	1.9	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Boise sit 6th in USL League One (35 points from 22 matches) and NY Cosmos sit 17th (18 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Boise	22	10	5	7	33	31	35
17	NY Cosmos	21	5	3	13	24	43	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Boise vs NY Cosmos?: The Footlab model makes Boise the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for NY Cosmos.
Where and when is Boise vs NY Cosmos played?: Boise vs NY Cosmos is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.