Bolivia vs Ecuador: result 2-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 12, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
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What was the result of Bolivia vs Ecuador?
Ecuador won 2-3 on November 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 37′J. ArceBolivia
- 46′B. CaicedoEcuador
- 55′Á. MenaEcuador
- 60′M. MorenoBolivia
- 88′C. GruezoEcuador (pen.)
Official lineup for Bolivia vs Ecuador
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bolivia
4-2-3-1- 11V. Abrego
- 7J. Arce
- 9M. Moreno
- 16E. Saavedra
- 14L. Justiniano
- 17R. Fernández
- 5A. Jusino
- 21O. Ribera
- 19J. Flores
- 15G. Valverde
- 1C. Lampe
Ecuador
4-2-3-1- 11M. Estrada
- 15Á. Mena
- 23M. Caicedo
- 17A. Preciado
- 10J. Sornoza
- 8C. Gruezo
- 7P. Estupiñán
- 14X. Arreaga
- 6B. Caicedo
- 4R. Arboleda
- 22Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolivia have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Ecuador have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2020 | Argentina(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Brazil(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 16, 2019 | Haiti(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Venezuela(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Ecuador(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2020 | Uruguay(home) | 4-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Argentina(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 20, 2019 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Argentina(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bolivia win, 1 draw, 2 Ecuador wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2019 | Ecuador 3-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Bolivia 2-2 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Ecuador 2-0 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 15, 2015 | Ecuador 2-3 Bolivia | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolivia score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolivia sit 7th in World Cup - Qualification South America (20 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 20 |
A question about Bolivia vs Ecuador?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy