Bologna vs Atalanta: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bologna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atalanta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bologna vs Atalanta?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Bologna (1,951) and Atalanta (2,043).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bologna vs Atalanta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bologna
3-4-2-1- 91R. Piccoli
- 28N. Cambiaghi
- 19L. Ferguson
- 4T. Pobega
- 33Juan Miranda
- 20N. Zortea
- 7R. Orsolini
- 14T. Heggem
- 16N. Casale
- 36M. Darmian
- 25M. Pessina
Atalanta
4-2-3-1- 90N. Krstović
- 13Éderson
- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 99E. Elmas
- 19F. Kessié
- 11J. Rowe
- 42G. Scalvini
- 31T. Kristensen
- 16R. Bellanova
- 77D. Zappacosta
- 29M. Carnesecchi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atalanta have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bologna wins, 1 draw, 3 Atalanta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| May 17, 2026 | Atalanta 0-1 Bologna | Serie A |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Bologna 0-2 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atalanta 2-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Atalanta 0-1 Bologna | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Bologna 1-1 Atalanta | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bologna sit 14th in Serie A (5 points from 6 matches) and Atalanta sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Bologna vs Atalanta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Atalanta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bologna.
- Where and when is Bologna vs Atalanta played?
- Bologna vs Atalanta is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.