Frosinone vs AC Milan: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs AC Milan?
AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,152 vs 2,029).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Frosinone vs AC Milan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 20A. Oyono
- 2G. Cittadini
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 12A. Rabiot
- 21S. Chukwueze
- 2P. Estupiñán
- 80Y. Musah
- 22Diego Moreira
- 70A. Cissè
- 31S. Pavlović
- 34Mario Gila
- 5K. De Winter
- 16M. Maignan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; AC Milan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Frosinone wins, 2 draws, 4 AC Milan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | AC Milan 3-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| May 19, 2019 | AC Milan 2-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Frosinone 0-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| May 1, 2016 | AC Milan 3-3 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Dec 20, 2015 | Frosinone 2-4 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frosinone sit 9th in Serie A (10 points from 6 matches) and AC Milan sit 5th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Frosinone vs AC Milan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs AC Milan?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs AC Milan played?
- Frosinone vs AC Milan is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.