Bologna vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
The Footlab model makes Bologna the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bologna vs Frosinone?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Bologna (2,037) and Frosinone (2,001).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Frosinone have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bologna win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Frosinone win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Frosinone 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Bologna 2-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 27, 2019 | Bologna 0-4 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Frosinone 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Frosinone 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Bologna 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bologna score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bologna sit 16th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Frosinone sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Frosinone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab model makes Bologna the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Bologna vs Frosinone played?
- Bologna vs Frosinone is played on May 16, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.