Bologna vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie AMatchday 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bologna wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bologna vs Frosinone?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Bologna (2,189) and Frosinone (2,204).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bologna vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bologna
3-4-3- 10F. Bernardeschi
- 21J. Odgaard
- 28N. Cambiaghi
- 4T. Pobega
- 19L. Ferguson
- 20N. Zortea
- 33Juan Miranda
- 16N. Casale
- 3A. Theate
- 36M. Darmian
- 1Ł. Skorupski
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 16Matteo Cichella
- 3G. Calvani
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 30I. Monterisi
- 20A. Oyono
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Frosinone have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Parma(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torino(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bologna wins, 2 draws, 2 Frosinone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Frosinone 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Bologna 2-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 27, 2019 | Bologna 0-4 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Frosinone 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Frosinone 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Bologna 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bologna score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Frosinone | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bologna sit 8th in Serie A (17 points from 11 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
A question about Bologna vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Bologna vs Frosinone played?
- Bologna vs Frosinone is played on May 16, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.