Bolton vs Bury: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 8, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Bury have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2019 | Bradford(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Gillingham(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Ipswich(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Rochdale(away) | 2-5 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Bolton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2017 | Bolton 0-0 Bury | League One |
| Oct 24, 2016 | Bury 0-2 Bolton | League One |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Bolton 3-2 Bury | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 0.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 75 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy