Bolton vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 29, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Full time
What was the result of Bolton vs Derby?
Bolton won 1-0 on September 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 10′C. NooneBolton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Ipswich(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | QPR(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Preston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2018 | Manchester United(away) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Brentford(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2018 | Blackburn(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Rotherham(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Hull City(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bolton win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | Derby 3-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Bolton 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Derby 4-1 Bolton | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Bolton 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Derby 4-1 Bolton | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Bolton 0-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 8th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy