Bolton vs Northampton: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 18, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Full time
What was the result of Bolton vs Northampton?
Bolton won 2-1 on March 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 57′M. SmithNorthampton
- 75′A. Le FondreBolton (pen.)
- 82′Filipe MoraisBolton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Northampton have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | Gillingham(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Mar 4, 2017 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | Port Vale(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Mar 11, 2017 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Charlton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Oldham(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bolton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Northampton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | Northampton 0-1 Bolton | League One |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Bolton on Nov 26, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 1.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Northampton | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 5th in League One (75 points from 46 matches) and Northampton sit 24th (35 points from 46 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 75 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 74 | 35 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy