Boluspor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu, Bolu
The Footlab model makes Boluspor the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boluspor vs Vanspor FK?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Boluspor (1,726) and Vanspor FK (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boluspor have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Boluspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Vanspor FK 0-1 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Boluspor 2-3 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Dec 19, 2018 | Vanspor FK 2-2 Boluspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 5, 2018 | Boluspor 5-1 Vanspor FK | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Vanspor FK vs Boluspor on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boluspor score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boluspor sit 20th in 1. Lig (0 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boluspor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Boluspor the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Boluspor vs Vanspor FK played?
- Boluspor vs Vanspor FK is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.