Bonaire vs Cuba: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Kralendijk Stadion, Kralendijk
The Footlab AI model makes Cuba the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Bonaire. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cuba wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bonaire vs Cuba?
Cuba starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,500 vs 1,355).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bonaire vs Cuba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bonaire
Not enough data to predict the Bonaire lineup.
Cuba
4-2-3-1- 23L. Paradela
- 14K. Espino
- 15Y. Pérez
- 6M. Campos
- 7M. Camejo
- 20A. Borrell
- 4L. Mena
- 10D. Reyes
- 17E. Nebreda
- 9D. Díaz
- 21Y. Zayas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bonaire have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Cuba have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grenada(away) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grenada(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Cuba(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | British Virgin Islands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(away) | 3-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Bonaire(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Grenada(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Dominican Republic(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bonaire wins, 0 draws, 1 Cuba win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Cuba 2-0 Bonaire | CONCACAF Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bonaire score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cuba score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonaire | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cuba | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bonaire vs Cuba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bonaire vs Cuba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cuba the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Bonaire.
- Where and when is Bonaire vs Cuba played?
- Bonaire vs Cuba is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Kralendijk Stadion, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.