Bonsucesso vs Paduano: result 2-1 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Leônidas da Silva, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Bonsucesso vs Paduano?
Bonsucesso won 2-1 on October 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 43′578716Bonsucesso
- 57′EzequielBonsucesso
- 64′Joel AraújoPaduano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bonsucesso have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Paduano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Friburguense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Artsul(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Artsul(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Serrano RJ(away) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Petrópolis(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Carapebus(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Nova Cidade(home) | 5-2 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bonsucesso score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paduano score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonsucesso | 1.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Paduano | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bonsucesso sit 1st in Carioca - 2 (22 points from 11 matches) and Paduano sit 11th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 | Paduano | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy