Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Banja Luka
The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Čelik. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik?
Borac Banja Luka is a heavy favourite: 1,889 Elo points against 1,500 — a 389-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borac Banja Luka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Čelik have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velež(home) | 3-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Petrocub(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Jun 6, 2026 | GOŠK Gabela(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 31, 2026 | Igman Konjic(home) | 4-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 24, 2026 | Radnik Hadžići(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Borac Banja Luka win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Čelik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 3-0 Čelik | Cup |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Čelik 1-2 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Borac Banja Luka 3-1 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Čelik 1-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 11, 2018 | Borac Banja Luka 0-0 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Čelik 1-0 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Borac Banja Luka score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Čelik score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Čelik | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borac Banja Luka sit 4th in Premijer Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Čelik sit 9th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Čelik | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Čelik.
- Where and when is Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik played?
- Borac Banja Luka vs Čelik is played on August 23, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.