Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Park, Borehamwood, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
Boreham Wood starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boreham Wood have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 5-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Boreham Wood win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Harrogate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2020 | Harrogate Town 1-0 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Boreham Wood 2-1 Harrogate Town | National League |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Harrogate Town 0-0 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Boreham Wood 2-4 Harrogate Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Boreham Wood on Jul 25, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Boreham Wood score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boreham Wood | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boreham Wood sit 4th in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town played?
- Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.