Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Fylde wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 35C. McGuckin
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 3E. Bristow
- 17J. Hmami
- 14M. Williams
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 2L. Payne
- 34L. Hutchinson
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 11D. Hadley-Allen
- 6C. Merrie
- 8T. Whelan
- 28M. Matthews Lewis
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 27G. Pickford
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Fylde have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atherton Collieries(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harrogate Town win, 2 draws, 3 AFC Fylde wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Harrogate Town 1-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Feb 29, 2020 | AFC Fylde 2-3 Harrogate Town | FA Trophy |
| Aug 26, 2019 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Harrogate Town | National League |
| May 1, 2019 | AFC Fylde 3-1 Harrogate Town | National League - Play-offs |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Harrogate Town 1-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Aug 27, 2018 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Harrogate Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Fylde score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| AFC Fylde | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde played?
- Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.