Match

Boreham Wood vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Park, Borehamwood, Hertfordshire

Boreham WoodMiddlesbrough U21

The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Middlesbrough U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Boreham Wood vs Middlesbrough U21?

Boreham Wood starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,979 vs 1,820).

Boreham Wood win59 %
Draw20 %
Middlesbrough U21 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boreham Wood have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Middlesbrough U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Boreham Wood
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Forest Green(away)3-0National League
Aug 18, 2026Leeds United U21(home)5-2National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)3-1National League
Aug 8, 2026Tamworth(home)3-3National League
Jul 31, 2026Norwich City U21(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Middlesbrough U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Norwich City U21(home)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors(away)3-1National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool(away)10-0National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026Chelsea U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Boreham Wood score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Boreham Wood2.31.1510/1513/15
Middlesbrough U212.51.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Boreham Wood vs Middlesbrough U21?
The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Middlesbrough U21.
Where and when is Boreham Wood vs Middlesbrough U21 played?
Boreham Wood vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Park, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Boreham Wood and Middlesbrough U21

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