Borgosesia vs Bra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Borgosesia
The Footlab model makes Bra the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Borgosesia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Bra?
Bra starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borgosesia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bra have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Chieri(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Vado(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Alcione(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Lavagnese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Bra(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Torres(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Torres(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Borgosesia win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Bra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Bra 1-0 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Borgosesia 1-2 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Bra 2-1 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Borgosesia 1-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Bra 0-0 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Borgosesia 1-2 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Borgosesia score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bra score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borgosesia | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Bra | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borgosesia vs Bra?
- The Footlab model makes Bra the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Borgosesia.
- Where and when is Borgosesia vs Bra played?
- Borgosesia vs Bra is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.