Fezzanese vs Gozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Miro Luperi, Sarzana
The Footlab model makes Gozzano the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Fezzanese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fezzanese vs Gozzano?
Gozzano starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fezzanese have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Gozzano have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Orvietana Calcio(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 17, 2025 | FC Siena(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 13, 2025 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Cairese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fezzanese win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gozzano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Fezzanese 1-2 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Gozzano 2-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Fezzanese 3-3 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Gozzano 3-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fezzanese score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gozzano score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fezzanese | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Gozzano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fezzanese vs Gozzano?
- The Footlab model makes Gozzano the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Fezzanese.
- Where and when is Fezzanese vs Gozzano played?
- Fezzanese vs Gozzano is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miro Luperi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.