Borgosesia vs Derthona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Borgosesia
The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Borgosesia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derthona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Derthona?
Derthona starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,467).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Borgosesia vs Derthona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Borgosesia
Not enough data to predict the Borgosesia lineup.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borgosesia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derthona have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Millesimo(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valenzana(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bra(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borgosesia win, 5 draws, 0 Derthona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Borgosesia 1-1 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Derthona 1-1 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Derthona 1-3 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Borgosesia 2-2 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Borgosesia 0-0 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Derthona 1-1 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Borgosesia vs Derthona on Mar 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Borgosesia score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borgosesia | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borgosesia sit 15th in Serie D - Girone A (6 points from 6 matches) and Derthona sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 | Borgosesia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Borgosesia vs Derthona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borgosesia vs Derthona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Borgosesia.
- Where and when is Borgosesia vs Derthona played?
- Borgosesia vs Derthona is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.