Derthona vs Biellese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Fausto Coppi, Tortona
The Footlab AI model makes Biellese the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Derthona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Biellese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derthona vs Biellese?
Biellese starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Derthona vs Biellese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Biellese
Not enough data to predict the Biellese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derthona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Biellese have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Derthona win, 0 draws, 1 Biellese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Derthona 0-3 Biellese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Biellese 0-2 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Biellese score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Biellese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derthona sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone A (11 points from 6 matches) and Biellese sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Biellese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Derthona vs Biellese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derthona vs Biellese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Biellese the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Derthona.
- Where and when is Derthona vs Biellese played?
- Derthona vs Biellese is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fausto Coppi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.