Bornheim vs Siegburger SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Bornheim. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bornheim vs Siegburger SV?
Siegburger SV starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bornheim have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Siegburger SV have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bornheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Siegburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bornheim 1-3 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Siegburger SV 2-2 Bornheim | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Bornheim vs Siegburger SV on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bornheim score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Siegburger SV score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bornheim | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Siegburger SV | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bornheim sit 8th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and Siegburger SV sit 3rd (63 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Siegburger SV | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 77 | 34 | 63 |
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 56 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bornheim vs Siegburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Bornheim.
- Where and when is Bornheim vs Siegburger SV played?
- Bornheim vs Siegburger SV is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.