Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, Hennef
The Footlab AI model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,007 vs 1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hennef 05
4-3-3- 22Sebastian Hecht
- 9R. Dabers
- 10F. Schöller
- 20N. Remagen
- 6K. Niewiadomski
- 13T. Günther
- 11D. Wegner
- 5E. Halili
- 4M. Rieck
- 18D. Eck
- 1A. Heil
SSV Merten
Not enough data to predict the SSV Merten lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hennef 05 have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; SSV Merten have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Porz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hürth(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hennef 05 wins, 0 draws, 2 SSV Merten wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SSV Merten 4-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Hennef 05 0-3 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 16, 2025 | Hennef 05 1-0 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 3, 2024 | SSV Merten 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: SSV Merten vs Hennef 05 on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Merten score 4.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| SSV Merten | 4.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hennef 05 sit 11th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (7 points from 6 matches) and SSV Merten sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SSV Merten | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | Hennef 05 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten?
- The Footlab AI model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten played?
- Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.