Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, Hennef
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hennef 05 have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; SSV Merten have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hennef 05 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SSV Merten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SSV Merten 4-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Hennef 05 0-3 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 16, 2025 | Hennef 05 1-0 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 3, 2024 | SSV Merten 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: SSV Merten vs Hennef 05 on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hennef 05 sit 12th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (35 points from 30 matches) and SSV Merten sit 4th (60 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten played?
- Hennef 05 vs SSV Merten is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.