Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Bonner SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Bonner SC (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bonner SC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bonner SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Bonner SC 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Bonner SC | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Bonner SC 1-3 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Bonner SC | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Bonner SC 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Bonner SC vs Borussia Dortmund II on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bonner SC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Bonner SC sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 | Bonner SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Bonner SC.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsSportfreunde Siegen
- Oct 24, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Oct 24, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsSV Rodinghausen
- Oct 24, 2026Köln IIvsPaderborn II
- Oct 24, 2026HildenvsSchalke 04 II
- Oct 24, 2026FC GuterslohvsWiedenbrück
- Oct 24, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Oct 24, 2026Bochum IIvsFC Bocholt