Match

Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund IIBonner SC

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Bonner SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Bonner SC (1,877).

Borussia Dortmund II win54 %
Draw24 %
Bonner SC win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bonner SC have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026Köln II(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Bochum II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026Jong Utrecht(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 14, 2026Dordrecht(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Bonner SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Paderborn II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte(home)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026SV Rodinghausen(away)1-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 31, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home)1-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bonner SC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Bonner SC 0-1 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West
Sep 28, 2025Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Bonner SCRegionalliga - West
Mar 24, 2021Bonner SC 1-3 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West
Sep 27, 2020Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Bonner SCRegionalliga - West
Oct 19, 2019Bonner SC 1-1 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Bonner SC vs Borussia Dortmund II on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund II1.61.4210/157/15
Bonner SC1.31.7212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Bonner SC sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Borussia Dortmund II3120535
15Bonner SC4022572

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Bonner SC.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC played?
Borussia Dortmund II vs Bonner SC is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Borussia Dortmund II and Bonner SC

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