Köln II vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Köln II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Köln II vs Paderborn II?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Köln II (1,875) and Paderborn II (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köln II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Köln II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Paderborn II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Köln II 1-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Paderborn II 5-0 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Paderborn II 2-2 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Köln II 5-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Köln II 1-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Paderborn II 3-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Köln II vs Paderborn II on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Köln II score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köln II | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Köln II sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Köln II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Köln II vs Paderborn II?
- The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Köln II.
- Where and when is Köln II vs Paderborn II played?
- Köln II vs Paderborn II is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsSportfreunde Siegen
- Oct 24, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Oct 24, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsSV Rodinghausen
- Oct 24, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsBonner SC
- Oct 24, 2026HildenvsSchalke 04 II
- Oct 24, 2026FC GuterslohvsWiedenbrück
- Oct 24, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Oct 24, 2026Bochum IIvsFC Bocholt