Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Paderborn II (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 4-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Paderborn II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Paderborn II 3-0 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Paderborn II.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Sportfreunde LottevsSchalke 04 II
- Mar 20, 2027SG Wattenscheid 09vsSportfreunde Siegen
- Mar 20, 2027Rot-weiss OberhausenvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Mar 20, 2027Bergisch GladbachvsBonner SC
- Mar 20, 2027Köln IIvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Mar 20, 2027WiedenbrückvsFC Bocholt
- Mar 20, 2027FC GuterslohvsSV Rodinghausen
- Mar 20, 2027Bochum IIvsHilden