Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BELKAW-Arena, Bergisch Gladbach
The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Bonner SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Bergisch Gladbach (1,924) and Bonner SC (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergisch Gladbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bonner SC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bergisch Gladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bonner SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach 5-0 Bonner SC | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Bonner SC 4-2 Bergisch Gladbach | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Bonner SC 1-0 Bergisch Gladbach | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 3-1 Bonner SC | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 1-1 Bonner SC | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 0-1 Bonner SC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC on Jun 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Bonner SC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Bonner SC sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Bonner SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC?
- The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Bonner SC.
- Where and when is Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC played?
- Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BELKAW-Arena, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Sportfreunde LottevsSchalke 04 II
- Mar 20, 2027SG Wattenscheid 09vsSportfreunde Siegen
- Mar 20, 2027Rot-weiss OberhausenvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Mar 20, 2027Borussia Dortmund IIvsPaderborn II
- Mar 20, 2027Köln IIvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Mar 20, 2027WiedenbrückvsFC Bocholt
- Mar 20, 2027FC GuterslohvsSV Rodinghausen
- Mar 20, 2027Bochum IIvsHilden