Paderborn II vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paderborn II vs Borussia Dortmund II?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,920) and Borussia Dortmund II (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paderborn II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Borussia Dortmund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Paderborn II 3-0 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund II vs Paderborn II on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Borussia Dortmund II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Paderborn II.
- Where and when is Paderborn II vs Borussia Dortmund II played?
- Paderborn II vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Bonner SCvsBergisch Gladbach
- Sep 19, 2026SV RodinghausenvsFC Gutersloh
- Sep 19, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Sep 19, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Sep 19, 2026FC BocholtvsWiedenbrück
- Sep 19, 2026HildenvsBochum II
- Sep 19, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Sep 19, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsKöln II