Borussia Dortmund II vs SG Wattenscheid 09: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for SG Wattenscheid 09. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs SG Wattenscheid 09?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and SG Wattenscheid 09 (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SG Wattenscheid 09 have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hilden(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SG Wattenscheid 09 score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| SG Wattenscheid 09 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and SG Wattenscheid 09 sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs SG Wattenscheid 09?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for SG Wattenscheid 09.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs SG Wattenscheid 09 played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs SG Wattenscheid 09 is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsPaderborn II
- Oct 10, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsFC Bocholt
- Oct 10, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsSchalke 04 II
- Oct 10, 2026Köln IIvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Oct 10, 2026WiedenbrückvsBonner SC
- Oct 10, 2026FC GuterslohvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Oct 10, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsHilden
- Oct 10, 2026Bochum IIvsSV Rodinghausen