Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Köln II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Köln II (1,875) and Borussia M'gladbach II (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köln II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Borussia M'gladbach II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Köln II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Borussia M'gladbach II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II 0-2 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Köln II 2-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Borussia M'gladbach II 0-4 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Köln II 0-0 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Köln II 1-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Borussia M'gladbach II 0-2 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia M'gladbach II vs Köln II on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Köln II score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köln II | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Borussia M'gladbach II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Köln II sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Borussia M'gladbach II sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Köln II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Köln II.
- Where and when is Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?
- Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsPaderborn II
- Oct 10, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsFC Bocholt
- Oct 10, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsSchalke 04 II
- Oct 10, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Oct 10, 2026WiedenbrückvsBonner SC
- Oct 10, 2026FC GuterslohvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Oct 10, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsHilden
- Oct 10, 2026Bochum IIvsSV Rodinghausen