Match

Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte

Sportfreunde LotteRot-weiss Oberhausen

The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?

Rot-weiss Oberhausen starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,869).

Sportfreunde Lotte win23 %
Draw25 %
Rot-weiss Oberhausen win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Rot-weiss Oberhausen have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Köln II(home)1-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026Bochum II(away)2-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Jul 31, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Rot-weiss Oberhausen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen 0-0 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Apr 18, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West
Oct 25, 2025Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Feb 8, 2025Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Sep 7, 2024Sportfreunde Lotte 1-4 Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West
Mar 30, 2022Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-0 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-weiss Oberhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15
Rot-weiss Oberhausen1.71.5312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Rot-weiss Oberhausen4211547
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen played?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sportfreunde Lotte and Rot-weiss Oberhausen

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