Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte
The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
Rot-weiss Oberhausen starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Rot-weiss Oberhausen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Rot-weiss Oberhausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-4 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 30, 2022 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-weiss Oberhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen played?
- Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Bonner SCvsSV Rodinghausen
- Dec 5, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsWiedenbrück
- Dec 5, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsPaderborn II
- Dec 5, 2026Köln IIvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Dec 5, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsFC Bocholt
- Dec 5, 2026HildenvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Dec 5, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Dec 5, 2026Bochum IIvsFC Gutersloh