Köln II vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Köln II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Köln II vs Borussia Dortmund II?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Köln II (1,876) and Borussia Dortmund II (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köln II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Köln II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Borussia Dortmund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Köln II 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Köln II 0-3 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Köln II 0-3 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund II vs Köln II on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Köln II score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köln II | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Köln II sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Köln II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Köln II vs Borussia Dortmund II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Köln II.
- Where and when is Köln II vs Borussia Dortmund II played?
- Köln II vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Dec 5, 2026Bonner SCvsSV Rodinghausen
- Dec 5, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsWiedenbrück
- Dec 5, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsPaderborn II
- Dec 5, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsFC Bocholt
- Dec 5, 2026HildenvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Dec 5, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Dec 5, 2026Bochum IIvsFC Gutersloh