Boston United vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Boston United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boston United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Gateshead?
Boston United starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boston United vs Gateshead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boston United
4-3-3- 18L. Wheeldon
- 11Kenneth Aboh
- 9Tom Cursons
- 8G. Holohan
- 30N. Pozo
- 7J. Holmes
- 23J. Grimes
- 28T. Agyemang
- 4C. Teale
- 2S. Sachdev
- 13Louis Chadwick
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 6Jack Robinson
- 3D. Ferguson
- 2T. Lavery
- 12P. Jameson
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gateshead have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-6 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-6 | National League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Boston United wins, 0 draws, 2 Gateshead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Boston United 1-0 Gateshead | National League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Gateshead 1-3 Boston United | National League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Boston United 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Gateshead 1-3 Boston United | FA Trophy |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Gateshead 2-0 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Boston United 1-2 Gateshead | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Gateshead on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 0.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gateshead | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 20th in National League (12 points from 12 matches) and Gateshead sit 24th (4 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 4 |
A question about Boston United vs Gateshead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boston United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Gateshead played?
- Boston United vs Gateshead is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.