Boston United vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Gateshead?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Boston United (1,794) and Gateshead (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gateshead have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Boston United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gateshead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Boston United 1-0 Gateshead | National League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Gateshead 1-3 Boston United | National League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Boston United 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Gateshead 1-3 Boston United | FA Trophy |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Gateshead 2-0 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Boston United 1-2 Gateshead | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Gateshead on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Gateshead | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 6th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gateshead sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Gateshead played?
- Boston United vs Gateshead is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.