Worthing vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Worthing. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southend wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worthing vs Southend?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Worthing (2,015) and Southend (2,011).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Worthing vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Worthing
4-3-3- 24C. Kendall
- 27J. Young
- 7R. Coleman De-Graft
- 15R. Aguiar
- 4J. Wadham
- 28C. Waller
- 6Jayden Moore
- 2J. Colbran
- 3C. Adjetey-Brew
- 5J. Cook
- 13T. Seymour
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worthing sit 5th in National League (24 points from 13 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
A question about Worthing vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Worthing.
- Where and when is Worthing vs Southend played?
- Worthing vs Southend is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.