AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 8T. Whelan
- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 6C. Merrie
- 10D. Mayor
- 14G. Olley
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 1Z. Jones
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hartlepool have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-3 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Fylde wins, 1 draw, 2 Hartlepool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Hartlepool 2-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Jan 9, 2024 | AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Hartlepool 3-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Hartlepool 2-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Mar 12, 2019 | AFC Fylde 4-2 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 7th in National League (23 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool played?
- AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.