Botafogo vs Fluminense: result 2-1 and analysis
Carioca - 1Championship - 6Kick-off on January 30, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Botafogo won 2-1 on January 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 57′Igor JesusBotafogo
- 69′G. CanoFluminense (pen.)
- 82′J. SavarinoBotafogo (pen.)
Official lineup for Botafogo vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Botafogo
4-3-3- 11Matheus Martins
- 99Igor Jesus
- 69Rafael Genuino
- 17Marlon Freitas
- 10J. Savarino
- 26Gregore
- 13Alex Telles
- 20A. Barboza
- 3Lucas Halter
- 4M. Ponte
- 12John
Fluminense
4-3-3- 90K. Serna
- 14G. Cano
- 17A. Canobbio
- 35Hércules
- 21J. Arias
- 8Martinelli
- 12G. Fuentes
- 29Thiago Santos
- 3Thiago Silva
- 2Samuel Xavier
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Bangu(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Sampaio Corrêa RJ(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Portuguesa RJ(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CFRJ / Maricá(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Madureira(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Portuguesa RJ(away) | 3-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CFRJ / Maricá(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Volta Redonda(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Sampaio Corrêa RJ(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Botafogo wins, 0 draws, 0 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Fluminense 2-4 Botafogo | Carioca - 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| May 20, 2023 | Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo | Carioca - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Botafogo on Sep 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 1st in Carioca - 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Fluminense sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BotafogoGroup B | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | FluminenseGroup A | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
A question about Botafogo vs Fluminense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy