Botafogo vs Gremio: result 3-4 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on November 9, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Botafogo vs Gremio?
Gremio won 3-4 on November 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′Diego CostaBotafogo
- 9′Everton GaldinoGremio
- 29′Júnior SantosBotafogo
- 46′Marlon FreitasBotafogo
- 50′L. SuárezGremio
- 53′L. SuárezGremio
- 69′L. SuárezGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gremio have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2023 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Coritiba(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2023 | America Mineiro(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Botafogo win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2023 | Gremio 0-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Botafogo 2-5 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Gremio 3-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Gremio 3-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2019 | Botafogo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Gremio 4-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy