Botafogo vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 22, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Botafogo vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on July 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 49′M. MorenoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gremio have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2012 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Bahia(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Santos(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Botafogo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2011 | Gremio 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Botafogo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2010 | Botafogo 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Gremio | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy