Botafogo vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on April 28, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Botafogo vs Gremio?
Botafogo won 2-1 on April 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 36′BrennerBotafogo
- 38′Igor RabelloGremio (o.g.)
- 90′GilsonBotafogo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2018 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2018 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 6, 2018 | Aparecidense(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 27, 2017 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2018 | Goias(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Dec 12, 2017 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Botafogo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2017 | Botafogo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 14, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Gremio 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Botafogo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Botafogo 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 22, 2014 | Gremio 2-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy