Boulogne vs Dijon: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
The Footlab model makes Dijon the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boulogne vs Dijon?
Dijon starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boulogne have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Dijon have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PAU(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Boulogne win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dijon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Dijon 0-3 Boulogne | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Boulogne 2-2 Dijon | Ligue 3 |
| May 20, 2011 | Dijon 1-1 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 21, 2010 | Boulogne 0-1 Dijon | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dijon score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Dijon | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boulogne sit 15th in Ligue 2 (2 points from 3 matches) and Dijon sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Dijon | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boulogne vs Dijon?
- The Footlab model makes Dijon the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Boulogne.
- Where and when is Boulogne vs Dijon played?
- Boulogne vs Dijon is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Libération, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.