Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Tribut, Dunkerque
The Footlab model makes Dunkerque the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Clermont Foot. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Dunkerque (1,860) and Clermont Foot (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunkerque have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Clermont Foot have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Reims(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dunkerque win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Clermont Foot win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Clermont Foot 2-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Dunkerque 2-2 Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Dunkerque 3-0 Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Clermont Foot 0-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Clermont Foot 5-0 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Dunkerque 1-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Clermont Foot vs Dunkerque on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunkerque score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Clermont Foot score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Clermont Foot | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunkerque sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (4 points from 2 matches) and Clermont Foot sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dunkerque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot?
- The Footlab model makes Dunkerque the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Clermont Foot.
- Where and when is Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot played?
- Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Tribut, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.