Boulogne vs Nantes: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
The Footlab model makes Nantes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boulogne vs Nantes?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Boulogne (1,772) and Nantes (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boulogne have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Nantes have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-5 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Boulogne win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nantes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | Nantes 3-3 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 24, 2011 | Boulogne 2-1 Nantes | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 4, 2011 | Nantes 1-2 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2010 | Boulogne 0-0 Nantes | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nantes score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Nantes | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boulogne sit 15th in Ligue 2 (2 points from 3 matches) and Nantes sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Boulogne | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 | Nantes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boulogne vs Nantes?
- The Footlab model makes Nantes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Boulogne.
- Where and when is Boulogne vs Nantes played?
- Boulogne vs Nantes is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Libération, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.