Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs La Roche VF: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Verchère, Bourg-en-Bresse
The Footlab model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs La Roche VF?
La Roche VF starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; La Roche VF have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Roche VF score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| La Roche VF | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 14th in Ligue 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and La Roche VF sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | La Roche VF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs La Roche VF?
- The Footlab model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
- Where and when is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs La Roche VF played?
- Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs La Roche VF is played on April 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Verchère, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.